Al-Eisi and the "Al-Maysari" platform ... movements of the Brotherhood's tools in the south, fearing the "guillotine" of the political settlement

English - Sunday 09 May 2021 الساعة 02:23 pm
Mocha, NewsYemen, Exclusive:

The Brotherhood, through its tools in the south, intensified its moves aimed at creating a political entity in the face of the Southern Transitional Council and in anticipation of any political negotiations to end the war in Yemen.

These moves were clearly evident through the meetings conducted by the prominent Muslim Brotherhood businessman, Ahmed Al-Eisi, who heads the so-called "Southern National Coalition."

On Friday, Al-Eisi met with southern leaders within what is known as the Supreme Council for the Revolutionary Movement headed by Fouad Rashid. According to the news circulated by the Muslim Brotherhood’s media, the meeting discussed “joint efforts to unify visions on issues related to the southern issue.”

Al-Eisi and Rashed confirmed that the meeting "is part of the efforts to unify the southern components under one banner, to represent all the people of the south with their various affiliations, with reference to the existence of" contacts that lead to arrangements for collective action that establishes a southern national unity without exception. "

The meeting discussed, according to the Brotherhood's media, "ways to proceed with contacts and meetings that lead to the creation of an inclusive umbrella for all southerners."

Al-Eisi and Rashed stressed "the importance of the contacts that took place with the Peaceful Southern Movement component headed by Yassin Makkawi, advisor to the President of the Republic, and the Southern People's Congress headed by Ahmed Al-Maysari, Deputy Prime Minister and former Minister of Interior."

It is noteworthy that this meeting was preceded by Al-Eisi’s meeting with the British Deputy Ambassador to Yemen, Simon Smart, according to what was published on the official page of the Southern National Coalition on "Facebook".

The page that referred to Al-Eisi’s description as the deputy director of the presidential office for economic affairs, said that Al-Eisi affirmed "the Southern National Coalition's support for all international efforts that lead to a political solution, ending the war and restoring the state in Yemen."

This meeting clearly indicates the Brotherhood’s tendency to move its tools and entities affiliated with it in the south, in light of the recent intense international moves to reach a political settlement in Yemen.

These moves were previously revealed by former Interior Minister Ahmed Al-Maysari in an interview in early April with the Qatari Al-Jazeera channel, when he spoke about efforts to establish a "political platform" in the south.

Al-Maysari clarified strenuous efforts aimed at unifying the factions and leaders of the Southern Movement to form a single line within a political framework, stressing in the same meeting that the struggle "with the coalition, especially the UAE, is extending from Al-Mahra to Bab Al-Mandeb."

The Brotherhood’s moves to the south come with increasing moves and efforts from the international community, especially America to end the war in Yemen by a ceasefire and entering into negotiations for a political settlement, with indications of an international trend to make them negotiations between multiple parties and not confined to the two parties (legitimacy and the Houthi) as was the situation in the negotiations. Previous.

This approach means the involvement of the Southern Transitional and the Political Bureau of the Resistance in the West Coast and other political parties and forces as parties to the neighborhood of the Houthi group, which will constitute a political blow to the future of the Brotherhood, which depends on its control and influence within the legitimacy as a guarantee for its control in the formulation of any future political settlement.

What reinforces this hypothesis is the nature of recent moves to stop the war in Yemen, from which the legitimacy is clearly absent, starting with Saudi Arabia announcing its initiative to stop the war without any coordination with it, and ending with the recent Muscat negotiations without any role for legitimacy in them, according to the admission of the Director of the Presidential Office Abdullah Al-Alimi, who said that the government Legitimacy in Yemen did not participate with its representatives in the Muscat meetings, in which representatives of the Houthis, Saudi Arabia, the Sultanate of Oman and other international parties participated.

And after the UN envoy announced the failure of the Muscat negotiations, the Saudi city of Jeddah witnessed a surprise visit by the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi, Mohammed bin Zayed, and his meeting with the Crown Prince of the Kingdom, Mohammed bin Salman, the owner of the meeting talk about the existence of consensus between the two parties on the features of the political settlement in Yemen.

Features of consensus, according to media reports, go beyond Hadi's legitimacy, diminish the influence of the Brotherhood (the Islah party), fight terrorism, support southern forces and the Transitional Council, and enhance stability in the liberated provinces.

What supports this talk is the sudden return of the head of the Southern Transitional Council, Aidaroos Al-Zubaidi, to Aden last week, a year and a half after its departure, and his return coincided with the return of prominent military leaders affiliated with the STC, indicating the existence of important arrangements during the coming period of the political scene, especially in the south.

In this context, the Omani researcher Salem bin Hamad al-Jhouri revealed an agreement between the major powers regarding a political solution in Yemen, which requires the formation of a national government that represents the south and north.

These indicators and scenarios raise the Brotherhood’s fear of their heavy loss. Talking about a settlement based on (north-south) will weaken their gains in it, as the north is almost entirely in the hands of the Houthi group, while the transitional represents the first number in the south.

Also, talking about multilateral negotiations means limiting the Brotherhood’s ability to formulate the outcome of the political settlement in its favor, and this loss does not decrease even with negotiations between the two parties (legitimacy - Houthi). The Riyadh agreement gives the transitional an important role in forming the legitimacy delegation, which means breaking the Brotherhood’s control over Legitimacy decision in these negotiations.

What can be deduced from these scenarios is that the Brotherhood’s main battle to prevent it or mitigate its effects will be during the coming period, clearly in the south and in the face of the Transitional Council.