The Brotherhood is trying to legitimize Al-Houthi under cover and new international recognition
English - Thursday 04 November 2021 الساعة 02:31 pm
Marib, NewsYemen:
After the fall of Marib, the South 24 Center for Studies expected, in an analytical report, that the Houthi terrorist militia would resort to negotiating with the internationally recognized Hadi government, because it would be the weakest party in the equation.
It pointed out that the negotiation mechanism will not be by reaching a bilateral negotiation formula, but the Houthis will make offers of "Hadi's legitimacy", based on their rules and appropriate formula, as they are the strongest party after the victory in the Battle of Marib.
It suggested that the entry of the Houthis into the city of Marib would change the shape of the equation in the Yemeni crisis at the political and military level, and determine the fate of the UN-sponsored settlement based on the results of the battle.
It concluded that the fall of Marib to the Houthis might enhance their appetite for fighting and controlling wider areas; However, they may take a different and unexpected course by rushing towards a political settlement, as happened with the Stockholm Agreement.
It explained that the Houthis' preference for a political settlement if they took over Marib, would guarantee them to stipulate that the Southern Transitional Council be removed from the settlement according to the "Riyadh Agreement" and confined it with the defeated party, the "legitimate government."
Therefore, it is expected that the Houthis will be keen to conclude a quick settlement with the “legitimacy” managed by the Islah Party, and stop fighting with the Southern Transitional Council as a temporary military strategy, so that they can mature their political settlement to reach a formula in which they share with the Islah Party in order to come up with a political solution that legitimizes the political and military presence of the Houthis according to the appropriate formula for the latter, under a new international cover and recognition.
The previous legitimacy will be ready to accept this settlement, as it is the defeated party in the battle, and the settlement formula will provide it with never leaving the political scene and staying in it, albeit marginally, within a new legitimacy dominated by the Houthis.
The Center considered this vision as not a Houthi move towards peace, but rather in order to establish themselves politically and militarily to wage upcoming battles towards geographical areas in the south, especially after their control over most of northern Yemen, and the incursion towards the rest of the districts of Shabwa Governorate, especially those close to oil and gas in order to get more economic gains.
It can be said that the Houthis' expansionist motives after the political settlement will be further strengthened after their takeover of Marib.
They may guarantee international recognition, as it has been a major obstacle to their project for years past; In addition to their guarantee of the absence of the legal basis for the intervention of the Arab coalition, especially Saudi Arabia, and the air cover of the coalition against their expansionist ambitions.
As for the local tribes in Marib, it is likely that they may eventually succumb to Houthi pressure; Especially as it paid a large human cost during the past battles.
